Outricher · Capability Research · O-1 / EB-1A / NIW

Finding the extraordinary.
A targeting engine for US talent visas.

US "extraordinary ability" visas — O-1, EB-1A, NIW — are decided on observable evidence: awards, patents, publications, leadership, advanced degrees. We map those USCIS criteria onto a 1.17-billion-profile graph, score every person against them, and hand a visa practice a ranked, contactable shortlist of plausible candidates — segmented by intent, freshness and field. This is what our data and algorithms can already do, measured live.

239,221
relocators-2026 — left the CIS, now abroad, visa-ready intent
20,657
Tier A+B candidates — multiple criteria, attorney-ready
8 / 8
USCIS criteria mapped to data signals
~130
data fields we can assemble per candidate

Every headcount is a live query against our graph (read-only), 2026-06-16. Dollar/eligibility claims are never made — tiers are evidence-strength for an attorney to qualify. Russian-speaking is the lead segment; the method is nationality-agnostic.

01What the data can see — 8 USCIS criteria

Extraordinary-ability cases are won on a checklist: meet ≥3 of 8 criteria. Our database carries direct proxies for some, weak proxies for others, and is honestly blind to a few. We build the funnel on what we see strongly, and attach the sparse signals as evidence bullets.

#USCIS criterionOur data sourceCoverageHow we use it
1Awards & prizesawards signal (121M profiles)PartialSparse (~0.6% RU) — evidence booster, not a filter
2Elite membershipweak proxies in certifications / honorsWeakNo clean signal — enrichment-only for the exact list
3Press about the person— not in the graphNot in graphExternal media search only
4Judging others’ worksummary text / open-source maintainerWeakSelf-declaration inference only
5Original contributionspatents (6.2M) + open-source impactPartialPatents 0.15% RU; code-impact bridge sparse
6Publicationspublications signal (74M profiles)PartialBooster on PhD-anchored leads
7Leading / critical rolecurrent title + company prestigeStrongBest-detected criterion — title ~96% populated
8High remunerationcompensation estimate (inferred)WeakInferred estimate, ~3% coverage
The honest funnel. Criteria 7 (leadership role) and advanced degrees are the dense entry signals — reliably detectable at scale. Awards / patents / publications are sparse boosters (<1% each) — we attach them as evidence when present, never filter on them. Press, peer-review and citation impact we flag for external verification. Net: we pre-evidence and prioritise; the attorney qualifies.

02The signal catalogue — what we can search by

USCIS criteria are what qualifies a person. Signals are how we find them in the data. Our platform detects 37 signals across the graph; here are the families that matter for visa targeting — grouped by what they tell you.

Intent & movement
Fresh relocation
Current country ≠ origin, changed 1–2 yrs ago
→ strongest intent proxy
US-company in history
Worked remote/onsite for a US employer
→ already in the US orbit
Open-to-opportunity flag
Self-declared job-seeking
→ active, reachable
Career change
New senior role / promotion
recent role start-year + leadership title
→ Criterion 7 just unlocked
Fresh graduation / PhD
recent education end-year
→ NIW window opens
Job change / new-in-role
most-recent position started <12mo
→ career-rethink moment
Evidence (extraordinary ability)
PhD / research degree
education-history degree match
→ NIW Prong 1
Open-source impact
repo stars / contributions
→ Criterion 5 — original contribution
Publications
publications signal (resolve + filter scientific)
→ Criterion 6
Patents
patents signal (USPTO cross-check)
→ Criterion 5
Awards / honors (classified)
award title + issuer — academic/national vs employer
→ Criterion 1 (after cleaning)
Leading role at distinguished org
title + company prestige/funding
→ Criterion 7
Reach & contactability
Personal email
959M-record email layer
→ turns a lead into a sale
Influence / follower tier
profile followers + open-source followers
→ Criterion 3 proxy
Language = Russian
231M language records
→ segment gate
Alumni of elite school
1.03B edu records
→ audience + corroboration
The two that matter most are not "evidence" signals. Intent (relocation, US-company history) and change (promotion, fresh degree) catch a person at the moment they're ready to act — which is worth more to an agency than a static "strong profile". Evidence signals tell you if they qualify; intent and change tell you when to call.

03Who we target — three intent segments

The buyer (a visa agency) needs people who want to enter the US. So the hottest candidate is not someone already there — it's someone in motion. We separate three populations by intent heat.

🔥🔥🔥 hottest intent

Relocators-2026

239,221
Left the CIS after 2022, now in a refuge country — NOT yet in the US. Proved relocation willingness, in motion. The hottest intent pool.
🔥🔥 classic intent

Inside RU/CIS

6,312,236
Top on criteria but not yet moved — the classic "want US" candidate. Largest base, lower DB contactability (email 7.3%).
🔥 in-US case

US-diaspora (change-of-status case)

79,676
CIS-educated, already in the US. Likely already has a status — secondary case for EB-1A change-of-status. Settled, senior, highly contactable.
Why relocators are the prime segment. Someone who left the CIS after 2022 for Belgrade, Tbilisi, Yerevan or Dubai has already proved they will move — and a US talent visa is the natural next step. They are detectable precisely: current location in a refuge country ∧ a CIS university in their history. That intersection is the signal no generic list vendor reconstructs.

04Where the relocators are

The 239,221 relocators, by current country. Georgia, Armenia and Kazakhstan are the dominant hubs — exactly the post-2022 relocation map.

By current country

Georgia
61,375
Armenia
38,455
Uzbekistan
37,017
Kazakhstan
32,337
UAE
17,621
Israel
10,973
Serbia
10,803
Cyprus
8,746
Turkey
8,189
Azerbaijan
4,425
Montenegro
2,095
Kyrgyzstan
1,882

By industry — tech leads

IT Services & Consulting
2,858
Software Development
1,642
Banking
1,394
Oil & Gas
1,336
Advertising
1,046
Financial Services
1,001
Telecommunications
920
Tech / Internet
800
Research Services
618
Higher Education
441
Legal Services
413
Pharmaceutical
323
The tech cluster (IT Services + Software + Internet) is ≈ 5,300 — the primary segment for O-1 tech cases. But Banking, Finance, Oil & Gas, Research and Pharma are real secondary pools, feeding the O-1A business and NIW science tracks. We can split any of these out on request.

05The scoring engine — Tier A / B / C / D

Every candidate is scored on how many independent USCIS criteria they hit, then ranked into tiers. This is the core IP: not a flat list, but a prioritised one where the attorney-ready names float to the top. (Distribution below measured live on the relocator pool.)

A · Hottest
3,572
625 contactable at $0
Rule: ≥2 hard signals, OR 1 hard + PhD
Two or more independent USCIS criteria converged on one person — a real EB-1A/NIW shape. An attorney has concrete evidence to build on.
B · Strong
17,085
2,162 contactable at $0
Rule: 1 hard signal, OR a PhD alone
One solid criterion present; the others need building out. O-1 viable with evidence work.
C · Prospective
210,590
10,898 contactable at $0
Rule: career/base present, no "extraordinary" signal yet
Generically strong (senior career or degree) but "extraordinary ability" not yet evidenced. Nurture + enrich + re-score.
D · Reserve
—
enrichment reserve
Rule: weak signal / not contactable
Enrichment reserve — needs paid email lookup and external verification before it is sellable.
Critical honesty. A tier is evidence-strength, not a verdict. Tier A means "multiple criteria converged — an attorney has strong material", not "will be approved". USCIS applies a final "sustained acclaim" judgement our data can't see. We sell a prioritised, pre-evidenced shortlist for a lawyer to qualify — that is both the ethical and the legal line.
A + B = 20,657 attorney-ready candidates in the relocator pool alone, 2,787 already contactable at $0. Adding the leadership axis (as in the US-diaspora case, where it lifted the qualified pool +53%) moves many Tier-C names up — a tuning dial per buyer.

06Funnels — how a pool becomes a shortlist

Each segment narrows from raw population to the sellable intersection: visa-signal ∧ contactable. The shape differs by segment — relocators are a huge hot pool with thinner DB contactability; the US case is smaller but far more reachable.

Relocators-2026 — the primary funnel

All relocators
239,221 100%
+ PhD / research degree
8,859 3.7%
+ hard signal (award/patent/pub)
14,769 6.2%
+ contactable email ($0)
14,301 6%
+ visa-signal AND email
2,893 1.2%

US-diaspora — the change-of-status case (leadership-dense)

Diaspora (US ∧ CIS-school)
79,676 100%
+ current leadership role
20,024 25.1%
+ hard signal
13,383 16.8%
+ contactable email ($0)
20,922 26.3%
+ visa-signal (incl. leadership) AND email
10,344 13%

Inside RU/CIS — the largest base

RU profiles
6,312,236 100%
+ any hard signal
87,266 1.38%
+ ≥2 hard (premium core)
10,977 0.17%
+ PhD
45,849 0.73%
+ contactable email ($0)
463,329 7.34%
The contactability dial. Relocators show ~6% DB email vs the US case's ~26% — fresh movers are less enriched in the graph. That gap is not a dead end: it's the paid-enrichment upside (~14.8K relocators carry a hard signal; only 6% have a DB email today). Who absorbs that enrichment cost is a pricing decision per buyer.

07Change-triggers — monitoring, not snapshots

The strongest product isn't a static list — it's catching people the moment they become visa-ready. Someone just promoted, just published, just defended a PhD is exactly when a US visa enters their mind. We can monitor these transitions and surface fresh candidates continuously.

🚀
New job / promotion
recent role start-year + leadership title · Criterion 7
A new senior/lead/VP role in the last 12–24 mo is the classic O-1 moment — the person just became "critical at a distinguished org" and is thinking about their next move.
🏅
Fresh evidence (publication/award/patent)
award year + evidence recency · Criterion 1/5/6
A new publication, award or patent means the person just crossed a criterion threshold — perfect timing to approach.
🎓
Fresh PhD / graduation
recent education end-year · NIW Prong 1
Just defended / graduated — the hot moment when a researcher decides whether to stay abroad. Prime NIW/EB-1A window.
📈
Rising visibility
recent activity + audience growth · Criterion 3 proxy
Recent activity + audience growth flags rising recognition — a soft signal to flag for an external press search.
Why this is the recurring-revenue product. A static list sells once. A monitored feed — "this month's newly-qualified candidates, ranked" — is a subscription. We hold the timestamped fields to diff a person over time and fire a trigger the moment they cross a threshold.

The timestamped fields we diff over time

Signal we re-scanWhat a change means
current role start-year / is-currentdetects a new job or promotion
education end-yeardetects a fresh graduation / PhD
award yeardetects a new award
open-source activity / starsdetects rising open-source impact
followers / activity recencydetects rising visibility
location country (delta)detects a relocation

Worked example — a Tier-C engineer becomes Tier-A

T0 — baseline
Senior engineer, CIS-educated, in Tbilisi. One leadership role, no hard signal. Scored Tier C — not yet sold.
T+4 months
Monitor detects: promoted to "Head of Platform" (new leadership title) + a conference talk logged + 2 new starred repos.
Re-score
Criterion 7 strengthens, Criterion 5 (GitHub) crosses threshold → moves C → B/A.
Trigger fires
Candidate surfaces in the buyer's next weekly feed, flagged "newly-qualified", ranked top — exactly when they're thinking about their next move.
The agency reaches the person at peak intent, with fresh evidence, before any competitor. That timing is the whole value of monitoring vs a one-off list.

08The most valuable signals — our ranking

From everything measurable, these are the signals we'd weight highest for finding a visa agency's next client — ranked, with the reason. Change and intent beat static evidence: a "strong profile" is everywhere; a strong profile that just moved or got promoted is a warm lead.

#SignalTypeWhy it's valuable
1Fresh relocationintentProven willingness to move — US is the natural next step. The single best predictor of buying intent.
2Fresh promotion / new senior rolechangeJust became "critical role" (Criterion 7) AND at a career-rethink moment. Evidence + timing in one signal.
3PhD + fresh publicationsevidence+changeThe NIW/EB-1A science core — two criteria converge, and recency adds timing.
4GitHub impactevidenceQuantifiable original contribution (Criterion 5), hard to fake. Best tech-track signal.
5Founder / funding roundevidenceO-1A business track — documented commercial success.
6Rising followers / activitychangeGrowing recognition (Criterion 3 proxy) — flag for external press search.

09Custom depth — what we build per buyer

The numbers above are the general picture. For a specific buyer we narrow hard — by city, company, field, funding, or nationality. Each of these is a query away on the same engine.

Tech O-1 for a specific city
"Find senior engineers from Yandex/VK now in Belgrade"
We deepen via: company-anchor + city filter + GitHub impact join
NIW science batch
"PhD physicists/biologists who published in the last 2 years"
We deepen via: field-of-study match + publication recency + co-author network
O-1A business / finance
"C-level / founders who raised funding"
We deepen via: crunchbase founder bridge + title seniority + salary percentile
Diaspora re-targeting
"CIS-origin people who just moved to Armenia this year"
We deepen via: location change recency + prior RU work history
Other nationalities
"Same scoring, Indian/Chinese/Iranian/Brazilian candidates"
We deepen via: swap the origin anchor — method is nationality-agnostic
Nationality-agnostic. Russian-speaking is the lead segment because the first client is — but the engine swaps the origin anchor in one line. The same scoring runs for Indian, Chinese, Iranian or Brazilian candidates. The method is the product; the segment is a parameter.

10One candidate, fully assembled — ~130 fields

Aggregate counts are abstract. Here is what we hold on one real person (anonymised) — a typical tech relocator. This is the depth behind every row in the funnels above: not a name and a title, but a fully-reconstructed dossier an attorney can act on.

Profile #A-2026 (anonymised)
Tech relocator — O-1 / EB-1A (tech) candidate shape
B → A with enrichment
Frontend Engineer · Angular / React / TypeScript · 10+ yrs
📍 Larnaca, Cyprus (relocated)  ·  🎓 Moscow State University of Transport (MIIT)  ·  🔗 617 connections / 665 followers  ·  15 roles on file
"Frontend Engineer with 10+ years of experience, specializing in enterprise applications — scalable high-performance web platforms, SSR, state management, real-time data, complex domain logic."

Career trace (15 roles — showing 5)

2022–2025Frontend (Angular) Developer
Crassula (fintech)
2020–2021Software Engineer (remote)
Dicom Systems, Inc. (US)
2019–2021Frontend (Angular) Developer
SmartLabs
2018–2019Frontend Developer
Russian Standard Bank
2015–2019Instructor
Unium

What we assembled — field groups

Identity & contact12
name, profile URL, location (name + country code), DOB-inferred, contact email (enrichment), social handles
Headline & summary4
current headline, About text, specialties, industry
Skills & interests10
self-declared skills array, interests, languages with proficiency
Career history120
15 positions × ~8 fields each: title, company, dates, locality, description, current-flag, company-id
Education15
3 records × degree, field of study, school, dates
Evidence tables20
awards (title/issuer/year), patents, publications, certifications (credential id/verify url/dates)
Graph & network35
connections, followers, "people also viewed" (32 ids), recommenders, recommendations
Activity & meta8
created/updated timestamps, snapshot ids, jobs count, profile completeness flags
≈ 130 field-values assembled for this one person
✓ Criteria met / strong signals
Criterion 7 — leading/critical role (Sr/Lead at fintech)
Criterion 8 — salary percentile (inferred)
dense career signal across 15 roles
+ Boosters
relocation intent (Moscow → Cyprus)
US-company remote experience (Dicom Systems)
GitHub/tech-stack depth
△ Gaps (attorney / enrichment)
no publications/patents on file → not yet EB-1A science
press/awards need external verification
This is the unit of value. Multiply this dossier by the Tier A+B pool and you have a visa practice's entire qualified-candidate pipeline — pre-assembled, scored, and ranked. A custom run can also export a clean per-candidate PDF dossier like this for the attorney's file.

Cross-source depth — one person across professional profile + open source

For technical candidates we join a second graph: their open-source footprint. Here is Profile #B-2026 (anonymised) — a tech relocator whose code we can read field by field.

Profile #B-2026 (anonymised)
Tech relocator with open-source footprint — O-1 (tech) candidate
B (tech O-1)
Senior Full-Stack Engineer · K8s / Python / React · 7+ yrs
📍 Yerevan, Armenia (relocated from Moscow)  ·  🎓 Bauman Moscow State Technical University (2024)  ·  current role: Senior Full-Stack Engineer @ Oxylabs (data infra)

Professional-profile layer

Connections105
Followers106
Roles on file3
DegreeBauman (2024)

GitHub layer

GitHub followers2,432
Public repos110 (63 owned)
Total stars22
LanguagesPython, C++, Dart/Flutter, JavaScript, Fortran

Top repositories (by stars)

★ 5flutter-weatherFlutter weather app
★ 3sql-challengesSQL practice set
★ 3actions-cppC++ GitHub Actions
★ 2brainfuckesolang examples
★ 2gulp-configbuild tooling
High GitHub following (2,432) but modest star-impact (22 total) — our scoring separates "popular" from "high-impact" honestly. A real O-1 tech case the attorney can build on (Bauman degree + senior role + public code), not an inflated one.
Why both layers matter. GitHub turns "claims to be a senior engineer" into measurable, third-party evidence — the closest thing to USCIS Criterion 5 a tech candidate has. We also read it honestly: 2,432 followers but only 22 stars means "well-known, not high-impact" — the scoring reflects that, so we never oversell a candidate to the attorney.

11We verify before we sell — content sanity

Before quoting a buyer we read the actual data, not just the counts. A signal that exists is not the same as a signal that qualifies. Here is what eyeballing real records revealed — and why it changes how we score.

PhD detectionclean
All 22 sampled doctorates were real — РАНХиГС (Economics), Belgrade (Genetics), Johns Hopkins (AI PostDoc), UNC (Biostatistics), Newcastle. Fields map straight to the NIW/EB-1A science pool. No false positives.
Awards — global samplestrong
Young Global Leader (WEF), Fortune 40-Under-40, Forbes Best CEO, Guinness World Records. Genuine extraordinary-ability recognition — zero "employee of the month" noise.
Awards — russophone samplenoisy → must classify
~15 of 22 were Soviet/corporate labour awards ("Благодарственное письмо", "Ветеран труда", "Ударник пятилетки") — NOT visa-grade. Only ~3 genuine (Scopus Award / Elsevier, Euler Award / St. Petersburg govt). The raw award signal must be CLASSIFIED by issuer before it counts for the russian segment.
This is exactly why content-sanity runs before any pitch. We sell classified, verified signals — not raw counts. PhD, leadership and publications are the dependable dense signals; awards become a *classified* booster (academic/national issuer vs employer), never a raw one. Honest scoring is the moat.

12Guardrails — sold responsibly

This product is viable behind clear lines (final wording needs an attorney sign-off, not this analysis):

Want this engine on your practice? Book a 20-min call ↗ · hi@outricher.com · see the live cohort catalogue →

Outricher · Visa Candidate Intelligence · capability research, map-only — no contacts exported. Every headcount is a live read-only query result; tiers are evidence-strength for attorney qualification, never eligibility verdicts; nothing fabricated. The named profile example (where included) is anonymised.